Best Champions League bets: top picks, betting odds and predictions for Matchday 4 group

This is the critical moment in the group stage of the UEFA Champions League. With only two games to go after this week, the urgency will be even greater for the back-to-wall teams. We saw the first teams clinch places in the round of 16.

The stakes and the desperation should give rise to insane results over the course of all 16 games, making them hard to choose. We’ve picked four of them for this week’s best bets, with the picks featuring three home teams and one away team.

The two picks for Tuesday’s slate are followed by two more for Wednesday (courtesy of DraftKings):

MORE: Updated Champions League group standings

Best bets in the Champions League: Tuesday, November 2

Villarreal -1.25 Asian Handicap (+105)

Villarreal may not be having the best La Liga start to the season (13th), but head coach Unai Emery has blocked the yellow submarine as far as the UEFA Champions League group stage is concerned. In Matchday 4 he faces a critical and unmissable home game against a Young Boys side that Villarreal is expected to beat if he claims to be a knockout contender.

Apart from a single loss (against Osasuna, seventh), Villarreal have achieved results in their other five home games this season (2-1-3), winning all the expected goal battles at the Estadio de la Ceramica, with the exception of this reverse. Villarreal will miss last year’s 30-goal scorer Gerard Moreno, but you have to love Emery’s chances after having had two full weeks to plan the game against a Young Boys side they beat on the road in Switzerland, 4-1.

MORE: Champions League top scorers

The Asian handicap of -1.25 requires a win for Villarreal with a two-goal margin to be a winner. A win of a Villarreal goal results in a half stake refund. If rumors linking Emery to Newcastle United do not derail the team, a home win is expected.

Juventus -1 Asian Handicap (-105)

Juventus are the shadow of the team that has dominated Italian football over the past decade. He is winless in three consecutive Serie A matches and sits ninth in the league, 16 points behind the leader. It’s safe to say that at this point it’s all about the UEFA Champions League for the team led by Massimiliano Allegri (below).

(Getty Images)

With three straight shutout wins in the Champions League group matches, Juventus lead Group H. A home win over St. Petersburg-based FC Zenit would secure them a place in the round of 16 and would continue to keep the club in a position to finish at the top of the group with two games to go (the group winners are the seeds for the round of 16 draw).

The -1 Asian Handicap wins if Juventus win by two or more goals. The entire stake will be refunded in the event that a Juventus goal wins. But only a convincing victory will calm the storm that engulfed the club after a second straight league loss to Verona this weekend.

Best bets in the Champions League: Wednesday 3 November

Inter Milan win by shutout (+105)

Sheriff Tiraspol’s run to the top of Group D was entertaining as long as it lasted. After a surprise start to the group stage, the Champions League debutant could finally see the favorites catch up in the day 4 standings.

Inter Milan, who beat Sheriff 3-1 in Italy in their last Champions League outing, won’t take Sheriff lightly when they travel to Moldova. The Italian club know that a victory would put them in one of the top two places with two games remaining. Another reason why Inter can’t pass up the opportunity: One of their last two games involves a trip to the Santiago Bernabeu to face Real Madrid.

The defending Serie A champions have enjoyed solid defensive form. In the last four games in all competitions, they have had two shutouts and have only been beaten by a free kick and a penalty. With the sheriff likely taking a defensive stance in hopes of scoring a point to keep his Cinderella alive, the odds of an Inter shutout increase. The challenge for the Nerazzurri will be to find a goal on the road to decide the game. A rested Lautaro Martinez should help.

Pick’em RB Leipzig Asian Handicap (+115)

With three defeats in a row in the group stage, RB Leipzig’s Champions League campaign comes down to this home game against famous Paris Saint-Germain. The German team took him to PSG in France and arguably deserved to come away with a win if not for two costly mistakes. It is the only defeat for Leipzig in the last six matches in all competitions.

(Getty Images)

A desperate RB Leipzig, coached by the American Jesse Marsch, will not get the best version of PSG. Not only have the French league leaders just got another unconvincing result in which they fell behind again, but they have to manage a handful of key injury absences. The loss of Lionel Messi to hamstring and knee pain will make headlines, but injury absences from central midfielders Marco Verratti (top right) and Leandro Paredes could be more difficult to overcome.

The Asian Handicap pick’em is essentially a no-bet bet. He wins if RB Leipzig wins and he pushes in the event of a draw. If PSG win, they are a loser, but it should be noted that PSG are 1-1-2 in their last four road games and the only victory came in a spectacular save in ‘Achraf Hakimi at FC Metz.

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